BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 15 Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength =  125.54
Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (6-2) | District: 1B-01 Record: (7-4)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/31/2024 Home    W     102.21  66   6   NA  92 ( 0-11) Lincoln CA            -21.53 *   25.00   81.53                      
 2 09/07/2024 Away    L     128.38  10  22   1A  85 ( 4- 8) Arizona                 4.64     -8.97  -16.64                      
 3 09/14/2024 Away    W   * 134.83  45  17   1B  96 ( 1-11) Utah Tech              11.08     27.97   16.92                      
 4 09/21/2024 Away    L   * 105.87  14  38   1B   8 (11- 3) Incarnate Word        -17.88     10.78   -6.12                      
 5 09/28/2024 Home    W * * 133.21  34  16   1B  45 ( 3- 9) Sacramento St           9.46    -23.84    8.54                      
 6 10/05/2024 Away    L * * 126.51  17  23   1B   7 (10- 4) Idaho                   2.76     -6.48   -8.76                      
 7 10/12/2024 Away    L * * 119.75  20  31   1B  10 ( 9- 5) Montana                -3.99      0.31   -7.01                      
 8 10/19/2024 Home    W * * 116.54  30  26   1B  58 ( 5- 7) Idaho St               -7.21     11.06   11.21                      
 9 11/02/2024 Home    W * * 136.24  27   6   1B  51 ( 4- 8) Weber St               12.50      5.20    8.50                      
10 11/09/2024 Away    W * * 127.24  31  14   1B  74 ( 3- 8) Cal Poly SLO            3.49     16.60   13.51                      
11 11/16/2024 Away    W * * 142.74  44   3   1B 110 ( 1-11) Northern Colorado      18.99     21.83   22.01                      
12 11/23/2024 Home    W * * 131.95  30  18   1B  24 ( 4- 8) Eastern Washington      8.21      7.05    3.79                      
13 11/30/2024 Away    L   * 103.23   0  24   1B  16 ( 9- 5) Abilene Christian     -20.52      3.23   -3.48                      
      Averages             123.75  28.3 18.8

Best game:  142.74 = 41 point win over Northern Colorado
Worst game: 102.21 = 60 point win over Lincoln CA
Team stdev:  13.26